Federal Reserve

Stock futures rise Friday as Trump downplays Iran military exchange; tech stocks lead gains with mixed earnings. Markets await April jobs data and June Fed decision.

Rising oil prices from Iran tensions and elevated tariffs threaten economic growth, with historical precedent suggesting potential 40% S&P 500 decline.

U.S. stock futures rose Wednesday after Trump's 'Project Freedom' pause announcement. Tech stocks led gains with semiconductor companies soaring on strong earnings.

Federal Reserve buys $237B in Treasuries since December, but BlackRock's Rick Rieder maintains equities outpace bonds due to structural supply shortages from buybacks outpacing IPOs.

30-year Treasury yields hit 5% for third time in three years as federal interest payments surge to $1.22 trillion annually, pressuring valuations across markets.

Federal Reserve's Q2 2026 inflation forecast jumps to 6.43% from 4.71% due to Iran war energy shock, eliminating 2026 rate-cut prospects amid expensive valuations.

S&P 500 ekes out 0.07% gain while Dow slides 0.22%; Trump's Hormuz security plan lifts oil 1.49%, fueling M&A-driven gains in eBay, Nebius, and Skycorp Solar.

Macro investor Otavio Costa blasts Federal Reserve's Trimmed-Mean PCE inflation metric as misleading, claiming debt dynamics undermine Fed independence and justify rate cuts despite persistent inflation.

Fed Chair Powell warns that inflation risks and geopolitical tensions may extend rate hikes through 2026, delaying expected cuts and threatening stock market valuations.

Fed Chair nominee Kevin Warsh plans aggressive unwinding of the Fed's $6 trillion balance sheet, departing from Powell's gradual approach. The shift could raise long-term rates and pressure growth stock valuations.

Stock market crash risk escalates as Iran tensions trigger energy inflation, eliminating Fed rate cut expectations and threatening valuations at historic highs.

US stocks delivered strongest monthly gains in years during April, with S&P 500 up 10%, Nasdaq 15%, and Dow 7%, driven by Middle East ceasefire optimism and solid earnings, though Fed policy concerns and seasonal weakness loom.

Stock futures advanced Friday as mega-cap earnings beat expectations; Apple rose 3.11%, Twilio surged 20.69%, but Roblox fell 22.10% on guidance concerns.

S&P 500 consolidates despite hawkish Fed, rising yields, higher oil prices. Index resilience masks deteriorating momentum reliant on mega-cap tech flows.

Fed Chair nominee Warsh's quantitative tightening plan could cut S&P 500 returns 9%, while eliminating forward guidance would boost market volatility, UBS warns.

Fed Chair Powell signals unexpectedly hawkish stance, eliminating 2026 rate-cut expectations. Markets now price zero cuts through December 2026 and 44.5% hike probability by April 2027.

Fed holds rates at 3.50-3.75% in Powell's final decision; hawkish stance erases 2026 rate cut expectations. Markets reprice sharply.

Oil surges 5-6% on Iran tensions; Treasury yields top 4.4%. Fed holds rates at 3.75% as tech stocks fall 1-2% on OpenAI revenue miss.

Powell's Fed faces stagflation trap: collapsing labor market and Middle East energy shocks create impossible policy choice for incoming leadership.

U.S. stock futures rise ahead of Powell's final Fed speech and rate decision. Markets expect unchanged rates while tech earnings and oil surge 3.05% dominate focus.